It’s 12 degrees right now and we have an alert.
Local Weather Alert
Special Weather Statement for Noble, IN
Other affected areas:
…
La Porte, IN; St. Joseph, IN; Elkhart, IN; Lagrange, IN; Steuben, IN; Noble, IN; De Kalb, IN; Starke, IN; Marshall, IN; Kosciusko, IN; Whitley, IN; Allen, IN; Berrien, MI; Cass, MI; St. Joseph, MI; Branch, MI; Hillsdale, MI; Williams, OH; Fulton, OH; Defiance, OH; Henry, OH; Paulding, OH; Putnam, OH
More
… SIGNIFICANT SNOW POSSIBLE NEW YEARS EVE THROUGH THURSDAY…
A POTENT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY ADVANCING INTO WESTERN BRITISH COLUMBIA AND MAY LATER FOSTER THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM. THERE IS SOME INDICATION THAT THE SYSTEM MAY TAKE A PATH FAVORABLE FOR A LONG DURATION SNOWFALL EVENT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES NEW YEARS EVE INTO THURSDAY.
WHILE THE DEVELOPMENT AND EXACT TRACK OF THIS POTENTIAL WINTER STORM REMAIN UNCERTAIN… SNOW… MAINLY LIGHT TO MODERATE… IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE SOUTHWEST GREAT LAKES REGION AND INTO SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
THEN… A MORE POTENT SYSTEM COULD EXIT THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTENSIFY ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY REGION ON THURSDAY. AT PRESENT THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT DEGREE OF VARIABILITY BETWEEN MODEL SIGNALS WITH RESPECT TO THIS STORMS STRENGTH AND FORWARD SPEED. A SLOWER… MORE DEVELOPED SYSTEM WOULD FAVOR THE POTENTIAL FOR A SWATH OF HEAVY SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN INDIANA… FAR NORTHWEST OHIO AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. GIVEN THE LONG DURATION OF THIS EVENT… 36 TO 48 HOURS… SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TOTALS IN THE 4 TO 8 INCH RANGE ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLE. AT PRESENT THE LOCATION OF THE HEAVIEST SNOW APPEARS TO BE PRIMARILY ALONG AND NORTH OF ROUTE 24… AFFECTING NORTHERN INDIANA… FAR NORTHWEST OHIO… AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. SMALL FLUCTUATIONS IN THE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM COULD SIGNIFICANTLY ALTER ACCUMULATIONS.
WHILE A SIGNIFICANT SNOW EVENT IS NOT A CERTAINTY AT THIS TIME… HOLIDAY TRAVELERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO LATER FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS… SHOULD WINTER STORM WATCHES… WARNINGS OR ADVISORIES BECOME NECESSARY. ALSO… TRAVELERS MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERNATE SCHEDULES AND ROUTES.
Rumor has it we might get rain tomorrow which would really be the pits because I wanted to rake the leaves and mulch them and wet leaves just don’t cooperate well with the process. Then I read this and think….. suck it up, rain is great compared to what the PB&J cafe is having to put up with. But on the flip side you can save energy by just sticking your food on the back porch and unplugging the fridge…. but that means you have to go out to the porch to get the Dr. Pepper (or coke, or whatever)… which might be frozen and then that would explode and cause quite a mess that you would slip in because you’re just in socks (taking the chance that the trip will be fast and your feet won’t freeze to the floorboards) and you’d end up in traction at the hospital…..
on second thought, keep the fridge plugged in.
Yes, it is complicated when you factor in all the variables. I use the changing scenario to keep a look-out for Alzheimer’s – watching for threshold temps for freezing, exploding, melting, if the outside door is fully closed? is the light on (for just that bit of extra warmth)? is everything against the wall shared with the porch? have any of the cans rolled free of the herd where it can freeze faster and pose a condition for falling?
And then there’s the question of having enough space in the refrigerator for stuff that has to come in quickly . . . or having something get too cold – frozen deviled eggs ain’t good.